Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COTI prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-19 0.070833 0.082276 0.094797 0.109491 0.126237 0.144699 0.166570
2025-01-26 0.056199 0.072003 0.090848 0.114871 0.144564 0.179938 0.225138
2025-02-02 0.045975 0.064224 0.087683 0.119799 0.162328 0.216387 0.289920
2025-02-09 0.035641 0.053942 0.079150 0.115969 0.167832 0.237646 0.337953
2025-02-16 0.028933 0.047091 0.073705 0.114879 0.176116 0.262763 0.393269
2025-02-23 0.023385 0.040751 0.067723 0.111731 0.180511 0.282326 0.442307
2025-03-02 0.019274 0.035804 0.062899 0.109323 0.185238 0.302294 0.493342
2025-03-09 0.016674 0.032837 0.060658 0.110472 0.195285 0.330869 0.559672
2025-03-16 0.013861 0.028940 0.056189 0.107144 0.197392 0.346815 0.607231
2025-03-23 0.012720 0.027928 0.056578 0.112166 0.213953 0.387503 0.698198
2025-03-30 0.011214 0.025914 0.054797 0.112949 0.223026 0.416251 0.771451
2025-04-06 0.009559 0.023276 0.051406 0.110201 0.225258 0.433175 0.825552
2025-04-13 0.008242 0.021155 0.048789 0.108733 0.229951 0.455319 0.891664
2025-04-20 0.007749 0.020808 0.049795 0.114680 0.249569 0.506401 1.014405
2025-04-27 0.007238 0.020322 0.050426 0.119916 0.268313 0.557455 1.141264
2025-05-04 0.006156 0.018207 0.047111 0.116238 0.268472 0.572986 1.202368
2025-05-11 0.005402 0.016776 0.045135 0.115224 0.274015 0.599381 1.286355
2025-05-18 0.004636 0.015144 0.042412 0.112105 0.274620 0.615826 1.351896
2025-05-25 0.004017 0.013786 0.040138 0.109709 0.276489 0.634887 1.424003
2025-06-01 0.003641 0.013064 0.039378 0.110871 0.286493 0.671679 1.535074
2025-06-08 0.003129 0.011798 0.036959 0.107537 0.285639 0.685125 1.598270
2025-06-15 0.002989 0.011705 0.037749 0.112578 0.305250 0.744700 1.763900
2025-06-22 0.002713 0.011093 0.036973 0.113366 0.314561 0.782107 1.884186